This sum is N5.8tn lower than its N12.3tn
($30bn) target set by the Federal Government under its zero-oil plan.
In the fourth quarter 2016, the Nigerian Promotion
Council conceived the Zero Oil Plan (a core component of the Federal
Government’s Economic Recovery and Growth Plan) to increase the contribution of
non-oil exports to Nigeria’s Gross Domestic Product by 20 per cent.
According the NEPC 2016 annual report, the
focus of the plan is to ‘generate at least a minimum of 40 – 50 per cent of
Nigeria earnings from non-oil export’.
Among other things, the report disclosed that
the plan was expected to grow non-oil foreign exchange to $30bn by 2020.
The $30bn was to be generated from 11
strategic export products – such as petrochemicals, palm oil, cocoa, soybeans,
rubber – with high financial value to replace oil.
The $30bn target when converted to naira using
the current official exchange rate of N411/$ equals N12.3tn.
The report read, “The Nigerian Export
Promotion Council launched the Zero Oil Plan, a medium and long term strategy
aimed at diversifying the economy from oil. Zero Oil Plan has become a key
component of the Economic Recovery and Growth Plan.
“The focus is to generate at least a minimum
of 40 – 50 per cent of Nigeria earnings from non-oil export. The plan was
presented to different states, development partners and donor agencies and has
been widely accepted.
“The overall targets set for the zero oil plan
include: to grow non-oil foreign exchange from $2.7bn base to $30bn by 2020.”
A breakdown of non-oil exports during the
review period shows that in 2017, non-oil exports contributed N629.9bn or 4.6
per cent of the total export of N13.6tn.
Out of the total export of N18.5tn recorded in
2018, only N1.9tn was generated from the export of non-oil products.
In 2019, non-oil exports accounted for N2.5tn
of total export of N19.2tn recorded at the end of the year.
For 2020, Nigeria generated N1.4tn from
non-oil exports, which constituted only 11.4 per cent of its N12.5tn worth of
export.
During the period under review, the Federal
Government generated a total sum of N63.79tn from exports, out of which N6.5tn
accrued from non-oil exports while N50.8tn was generated from exporting crude
oil.
Consequently, crude oil remains the mainstay
of the economy as it accounts for the largest share of total exports despite
efforts of the Federal Government to reduce the country’s dependence on the
product.
Speaking on the development, a financial
expert and professor of economics at the Olabisi Onabanjo University, Ogun
State, Sheriffdeen Tella, emphasised the need for the government to diversify
the economy from oil and focus on boosting non-oil trade.
He added that in a few years’ time, oil might
not be as profitable as it is currently.
Tella said, “There are alternatives to oil
that are being developed. Many vehicles would not be running on oil. They may
likely switch to gas and other alternatives. Also, it means some industries
would not be running on oil very soon.
“Alternatives are developed every day, and
after some time, there would be perfection.
In the next 10 to 15 years, oil may not be a serious matter anymore.
“Oil is going down, and we should be looking
for alternatives. If we can invest what we have in other sectors, we will not
be caught unawares.
“Our problem is that once there is a problem
with oil, we start looking for alternatives. Once the oil starts selling well,
we forget that we have a problem. That has been our problem.”
Tella attributed the negative difference
between actual non-oil export and the NEPC projection to neglect of the non-oil
sector.
“The reason for the low non-oil export is
abandonment. Those sectors have been abandoned because of the money coming from
oil.
“We are not serious about other sectors yet.
The government seems to be more interested in easy oil money. Yet, we are not
investing this money in the right places.”
In the light of this, he called on the
government to invest the profits accrued from oil exports to develop the
non-oil sector.
0 comments:
Post a Comment