Boeing's possible takeover of Spirit AeroSystems, along with delaying plans to ramp up production of 737 MAX jets, could help the planemaker manage its supply chain, but the move is no quick fix for its quality problems, analysts said.
Boeing is trying to manage a sprawling crisis that erupted
after a door plug blew off a 737 MAX jet at 16,000 feet (4,877 meters) above
the ground on Jan. 5. U.S. aviation regulators have curbed production as they
scrutinize safety processes at Boeing and Spirit, which was a Boeing subsidiary
until it was spun off in 2005.
The companies are in talks for Boeing to pull Spirit back
into its fold, they said on Friday. Three industry sources have called the
advancing discussions serious, although two said it could be weeks before a
deal.
“I think that’s Boeing trying to get control of a major
portion of the supply chain,” said Jon Holden, president of District 751 of the
International Association of Machinists and Aerospace Workers, the planemaker’s
largest union.
"I have no inside info on if they are going to
accomplish it, but it looks like it's heading that way and I think it's the
right move," Holden told Reuters.
Holden and his fellow Seattle area machinists will start
contract talks with the U.S. planemaker on March 8.
A Spirit deal could force the hand of European rival Airbus
in acquiring a plant in Belfast, Northern Ireland, that makes wings for the
A220, industry sources have said.
On Friday, Reuters reported that Airbus and Spirit had held
exploratory talks on selling the plant to Airbus. Questions remain over other
Airbus-focused plants including Kinston, North Carolina, which makes
center-fuselage frame sections for the A350.
Spirit, a key supplier on Boeing's 737 MAX, makes about a
quarter of its revenue from Airbus programs. An Airbus spokesperson declined
comment on confidential discussions with suppliers.
For Boeing, bringing back struggling Spirit could help
operations since the combined company would command more manufacturing
resources, but any deal may not result in immediate quality benefits, analysts
said.
The Federal Aviation Administration said on Monday its 737
MAX production audit found multiple instances where Boeing and Spirit allegedly
failed to comply with manufacturing quality control requirements.
Boeing and Spirit pointed to a Friday statement confirming
the talks. Boeing has cited quality issues as one reason for buying Spirit.
Preliminary investigations of the Jan. 5 incident show it
was Boeing staff in Washington state that removed the door plug to fix rivet
damage stemming from production at Spirit - but bolts required to hold the plug
in place were not reinstalled.
One of the three sources, a senior supply-chain executive,
said Boeing had little choice but to initiate acquisition talks. Faced with the
prospect of ever more loans or price concessions to Spirit as it struggles to
increase 737 production, it may make more sense to buy the company back.
"The cards are on the table to ensure and protect the
737 MAX program in the face of Airbus competition," Jefferies said in a
note.
A deal could also give Boeing greater influence over its
supply chain, J.P. Morgan analyst Seth Seifman wrote, at a time when there are
new delays to production increases crucial for its 2025-26 cash flow goals.
On Friday, Boeing told suppliers it was delaying expected
increases in production.
Many suppliers struggled with a slump in demand during the
pandemic and an earlier 20-month grounding of Boeing's 737 MAX 8 that
temporarily halted production.
"It's giving us time to get our own house in
order," said Rosemary Brester, who runs Hobart Machined Products with her
husband in Washington state.
Hobart Machined Products has been wrestling with delays in
obtaining certain steel for its business, which includes milling and grinding
metal to make aircraft components. She said small suppliers need help, given
inflation and higher costs to access capital.
But while Boeing's new production schedule might be more
realistic, each delay erodes confidence by suppliers in the planemaker's
production rate announcements, said Glenn McDonald, a supply chain specialist
at U.S. aerospace consultancy Aerodynamic Advisory.
"Realistically, I think most suppliers are already
discounting rate plans somewhat," he said.-Reuters