This was as its T-Bills debts soared to N10.4tn between
December 2023 and March 2024, marking a 60 per cent rise in just three months.
According to the auction result by the Debt Management
Office and cross-checked with data posted on the CBN website on Thursday, the
auction attracted significant investor interest, with the total subscription
amounting to N773.98bn, far surpassing the total offer of N228.72bn.
The most recent outcome indicates ongoing strong demand from
yield-hungry investors while also providing a source of funding to meet the
government’s short-term expenditure.
Recall that the government also raised N297bn from the June
bond auction, which is only about 66 per cent of its target and 22 per cent
less than the N380.77bn raised in May.
The bonds, being crucial instruments for the government’s
debt management strategy, serve multiple purposes, including providing
investors with a relatively safe investment option, assisting in managing the
country’s debt profile, and facilitating efficient fund management.
Specifically, treasury bills and FGN bonds are classified as
risk-free, theoretically zero risk, because the government is assumed to always
make good on its debts. If not, they can print money to pay it back.
As an instrument to implement monetary policy, the CBN also
control the money supply in the economy by issuing or redeeming Treasury Bills.
T-Bills also provide a means for the government to raise
short-term funds to finance its operations, including bridging budget deficits.
In the latest auction analysed by The PUNCH, there was an
increase of 417.1 per cent in the amount offered when compared to the N44.23bn
offered in the previous auction, which was held on June 13, 2024.
Also, total subscriptions recorded an 89.8 per cent increase
from N407.76bn while total sales rose by 414.7 per cent from N55.23bn.
A further breakdown showed that the auction featured three
tenors of 91-day, 182-day, and 364-day bills.
The 91-day tenor, maturing on September 25, 2024, had an
offer of N29.83bn but received subscriptions worth N36.29bn, with an allotment
of N28.15bn. The range of bids for this tenor was between 15.98 per cent and
24.00 per cent, with a stop rate of 16.30 per cent.
Similarly, the 182-day bills, maturing on December 25, 2024,
saw an offer of N30.67bn against subscriptions of N40.58bn, and an allotment of
N36.44bn. The bid range was between 17.00 per cent and 21.00 per cent, with a
stop rate of 17.44 per cent.
The 364-day bills, maturing on June 25, 2025, had the
highest offer at N168.21bn. It recorded an overwhelming subscription of
N697.11bn and an allotment of N219.67bn. The bid range for this tenor was 16.00
per cent to 25.00 per cent, with a stop rate of 20.68 per cent.
The significant oversubscription across all tenors
demonstrates strong investor confidence in Nigerian Treasury Bills as a safe
investment avenue amidst prevailing economic conditions.
The high subscription rate, particularly for the 364-day
bills, reflects a preference for longer-term securities, likely driven by
expectations of future economic stability and favourable returns.
The range of bids and the stop rates across the different
tenors suggest competitive bidding, with investors keen on securing these
government securities.
Meanwhile, the government’s thirst for alternative sources
of financing has resulted in the highest T-Bills debts.
This surge occurred as the DMO, via the central bank, issued
several T-Bills in Q1 2024 as it relies on a combination of monetary and fiscal
policy to fight inflation while also providing a source of funding to meet the
government’s short-term expenditure.
The debt balance surged from N2.8tn in 2024 to N5.8tn in
July 2023 and N10.4tn currently.
This indicates Nigeria’s T-Bills debt is now 4.37 per cent
of the Gross Domestic Product.
However, critics continue to point to the rising cost of
servicing Nigeria’s domestic debt especially Treasury Bills with true yields
closer to 30 per cent per annum.
Nigeria’s total domestic debt profile rose to N65.6tn in Q1
2024, up 11 per cent from the N59.1tn recorded as of December 2023. The
external debt profile dipped from $42.9bn to $42.1bn within the same period,
largely driven by a reduction in Nigeria’s debt to the IMF.
In total, the public debt profile in naira terms is N114.7
tn, assuming the exchange rate of N1,309 as of March 31, 2024. In dollar terms,
Nigeria’s public debt as of March 2024 is $92.2 bn.
In an earlier interview with The PUNCH, a professor of
Economics, Sheriffdeen Tella, described bonds and treasury bills as viable
solutions to raise funds while reducing foreign debts.
He said the fixed-income securities play a twin role in
raising funds for the government and mopping up liquidity in the system.
“Bonds and treasury bills are instruments of borrowing by
the government because when the government floats its bond, people,
organisations and investors buy into it and that reduces the money supply. So,
bonds and treasury bills play two roles: The role of raising funds for the
government and the role of mopping up liquidity in the system.”
“Nigerians can earn more via the interest rate paid on these
instruments. The bonds can be paid after a minimum of two years while treasury
bills can be three months, that is 91 days, six months and a maximum of one
year and that is a shorter option. The CBN normally uses that to raise
short-term funds for the government and to mop liquidity to reduce money
supply,” he said.