Kate Roland 

Nigeria’s foreign exchange market ended the week on a relatively calm note, with the naira maintaining a narrow trading band across both official and parallel market segments on Friday, November 7, 2025.

According to market data and Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) figures, the naira’s volume-weighted average price in the official Nigerian Foreign Exchange Market (NFEM) hovered between ₦1,437 and ₦1,444 per US dollar. The performance suggests that the CBN’s recent policy mix — including liquidity injections and rate adjustments — continues to support short-term stability in the currency.

In the informal segment, street traders in Lagos and other major commercial centres quoted the greenback between ₦1,440 (buy) and ₦1,455 (sell), while isolated trades were reported as high as ₦1,515 per dollar. That spread places the black-market rate about ₦10 to ₦70 weaker than the NFEM mid-point, a gap that remains manageable by recent standards.

Policy Impact and Market Drivers
Traders and analysts attributed the week’s steadiness to a combination of healthy dollar inflows into the official window and continued guidance from the apex bank. The CBN’s September decision to begin easing interest rates — after several months of tight monetary conditions — has helped reduce volatility and encouraged improved market participation.

However, activity in the parallel market remains heavily influenced by local demand for dollars to pay for fuel, imports, and travel expenses. Confidence among bureau-de-change operators and informal dealers continues to shape short-term pricing trends, with some traders reacting swiftly to rumours or speculative shifts in sentiment.

Implications for Businesses and Consumers
For importers and corporates with access to the NFEM, lower dollar costs mean a modest relief in operating expenses. Those without such access, however, still pay a premium through informal channels. Retail travellers, small remittance recipients, and households relying on the open market for foreign exchange face rates that mirror the black-market range.

Looking Ahead
Currency watchers say the naira’s near-term direction will hinge on three key factors: the level of liquidity the CBN sustains in the official market, the strength of foreign-exchange inflows from oil exports and investors, and the scale of demand pressures from importers and fuel marketers. Analysts also point to recent developments around fuel pricing and refinery operations as possible catalysts for renewed dollar demand in the coming weeks.

Overall, the naira’s ability to stay within a stable corridor this week reflects a cautious equilibrium — one that depends on the CBN’s capacity to balance market supply, maintain confidence, and manage speculative pressures as year-end trading intensifies.