Olufemi Adeyemi
UAE Cargo Deals Mark First Non-African Supply Shift for 700,000 bpd Facility
The Dangote Petroleum Refinery has taken a significant step in reshaping its crude sourcing strategy after purchasing two cargoes of oil from the United Arab Emirates—its first-ever imports from the Middle East. The move signals a broader shift in feedstock strategy as Africa’s largest refinery contends with domestic supply limitations while scaling up operations.
According to S&P Global Commodity Insights, the refinery’s latest purchases represent a milestone for the 700,000-barrels-per-day facility, which has traditionally relied on Nigerian crude, along with select African and U.S. grades. The new UAE cargoes mark its entry into Middle Eastern sourcing as it broadens its global supply network.
The timing of the deal coincides with a recovery in Middle Eastern oil exports following an interim peace agreement between the United States and Iran, which helped restore confidence in shipping routes through the Strait of Hormuz—one of the world’s most critical energy corridors.
Strained local supply pushes diversification
The refinery, built primarily to process Nigeria’s light sweet crude, has been forced to adjust its sourcing strategy as production and logistics constraints continue to affect domestic supply consistency. In response, it has steadily expanded its crude slate to maintain stable operations while ramping up output.
A key arrangement with the Nigerian National Petroleum Company had initially guaranteed between 13 and 15 cargoes of Nigerian crude monthly, denominated in naira, in a bid to reduce exposure to foreign exchange volatility. However, S&P Global reports that the agreement has struggled with supply shortages and operational disruptions at export terminals.
These challenges have prompted the refinery’s leadership to look outward for additional feedstock. According to Dangote Refinery Chief Executive Officer David Bird, external sourcing has become necessary as domestic limitations persist.
“We definitely want to heavy up the barrel”
As the refinery positions itself for future growth, its leadership has openly outlined plans to process a broader mix of crude grades, including heavier varieties typically sourced from the Middle East.
“We definitely want to heavy up the barrel,” Bird said in April.
He further explained the long-term blending strategy being developed for the facility:
“We will be in the crude blending game. So you can easily imagine at 1.4 million b/d we could process 30 per cent Middle Eastern grades on each train.”
The refinery’s planned expansion underscores that vision. Capacity is expected to double to 1.4 million barrels per day by the end of 2028, a scale that would allow it to process roughly 80% of Nigeria’s recent daily crude output on its own.
Toward a global merchant refinery model
Industry analysis from S&P Global suggests the refinery is gradually evolving into a fully merchant operation—one that is less dependent on a single supply region and more flexible in sourcing crude globally.
In 2025, approximately 70% of its crude imports reportedly came from Nigeria, while 24% originated from the United States, reflecting an already diversified intake even before the latest Middle Eastern purchases.
With the addition of UAE cargoes, the refinery’s strategy appears to be entering a new phase—one driven by flexibility, global sourcing, and long-term capacity expansion in an increasingly complex crude market.
