Apple’s push to replace the chips inside its devices with home-grown components will include dropping a key Broadcom part in 2025, according to people familiar with the situation, dealing a blow to one of its biggest suppliers.
As part of the shift, Apple also aims to ready its first
cellular modem chip by the end of 2024 or early 2025, letting it swap out
electronics from Qualcomm, said the people, who asked not to be identified
because the plans are private.
Apple had been previously expected to replace the Qualcomm
part as soon as this year, but development snags have pushed back the timeline.
Apple is Broadcom’s largest customer and accounted for about
20 per cent of the chip maker’s revenue in the last financial year, amounting
to almost US$7 billion. Qualcomm got 22 per cent of its annual sales from the
iPhone maker, representing nearly US$10 billion, though that company has warned
for years that its Apple reliance will wane.
Shares of Broadcom fell as much as 4.7 per cent on the news
before paring their decline. The shares closed at US$576.89, down 2 per cent.
Qualcomm slid as much as 1.6 per cent before closing at US$114.61, down 0.6 per
cent. Apple rose 0.4 per cent to US$130.15.
The moves will further upend a chip industry that makes
billions of dollars supplying Apple components.
Already, the world’s most valuable tech company has removed
most Intel processors from its Mac computers, opting instead to use in-house
chips known as Apple Silicon. Now the changes are hitting the biggest makers of
wireless electronics. The iPhone is Apple’s top moneymaker, generating more
than half of its US$394.3 billion in revenue last year.
The phone also has helped fuel growth at Broadcom, which
refers to Apple as its “large North American customer” during earnings calls.
The chip maker makes a combined component that handles both Wi-fi and Bluetooth
functions on Apple devices.
Apple is developing an in-house replacement for that chip
and is aiming to start using it in its devices in 2025, the people said. In
addition, it is already working on a follow-up version that will combine
cellular modem, Wi-fi and Bluetooth capabilities into a single component.
A representative for Cupertino, California-based Apple
declined to comment. Broadcom did not have an immediate comment.
Broadcom still supplies Apple with other components –
including radio-frequency chips and ones that handle wireless charging – though
the iPhone maker has been working on customising those parts as well. During a
conference call last month, Broadcom chief executive officer Hock Tan expressed
confidence that his company will maintain its foothold at Apple.
“We believe we have the best technology and delivering value
to our customers,” he said. “There’s no reason to find something else where
you’re not the best.” Qualcomm declined to comment beyond pointing to previous
remarks that the company has made on the topic.
In November, the chip maker said it expected to supply the
vast majority of modems for the 2023 iPhone launch, up from a previous
assumption of just 20 per cent. “Beyond this, there are no changes to our
planning assumption, and we are assuming minimal contribution from Apple
product revenues in fiscal ’25,” Qualcomm said.
With the shift away from Qualcomm modems, Apple plans to initially just use its home-grown component in one new product, such as a high-end iPhone model. It will then gradually move away from Qualcomm modems during a period it anticipates will take about three years – similar to how it handled past transitions. But the swap has not been easy so far. After aiming to launch its own cellular modem by this year, the company faced problems with overheating, battery life and getting the component validated.
The iPhone
currently works with more than 100 wireless carriers in over 175 countries,
which necessities a lengthy and cumbersome testing process. A cellular modem is
what allows iPhones to handle phone calls and connect to the internet while
away from Wi-fi, making it the most critical part of the device for most
people. If Apple’s offering is inferior to Qualcomm’s component, it could put
the company’s flagship product at a significant disadvantage.
The long transition also could put Apple in a tricky
position. The company will still need to rely on Qualcomm for several years as
it replaces the component in various devices. Apple first started work on its
modem around 2018, opening an office in San Diego near Qualcomm’s headquarters.
To speed up development, the company acquired Intel’s modem unit in 2019 for
US$1 billion and opened additional offices in key areas known for wireless
technology development. The Wi-fi and Bluetooth chip effort is newer, and a
release will take longer. But Apple has already made some wireless chips in the
past, including the H2 processor found in AirPods and the W3 chip found in
Apple Watches.
Apple and Qualcomm were embroiled in a legal war over
royalties and patents related to modems until a settlement in 2019. At the
time, Apple deemed the truce necessary to bring 5G support to the iPhone in
2020. The companies agreed that Qualcomm would supply parts to Apple through
2024.
Apple also has had a strained relationship with Broadcom.
Tan, the chip maker’s CEO, has a reputation for tough negotiations and forced
some customers to commit to non-cancellable orders during the pandemic-fuelled
supply crunch.
In 2020, Apple said it was spending a total of US$15 billion
on purchases of Broadcom chips in an arrangement running through the middle of
2023. But despite Apple being Broadcom’s top customer, Tan’s commitment to the
market has occasionally wavered. Prior to the 2020 agreement, Tan indicated
that Broadcom might divest the business that supplies chips to Apple.
For Broadcom investors, Apple’s next steps are another thing to worry about, Wells Fargo & Co analyst Aaron Rakers said in a report. “While it is well-known that Apple continues to move toward internally designing an increasing number of its components, from a Broadcom perspective, this likely creates an investor sentiment headwind given how significant Apple’s revenue contribution is,” he said.
