The Manufacturers Association of Nigeria (MAN) has accused the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) of prioritising the financial sector over the real sector in the manner it has been deploying its monetary policy options.
This view was expressed on Thursday by the Director General
of MAN, Mr. Segun Ajayi-Kadir, in a press statement titled the “Position of MAN
on the Report of Monetary Policy Committee Meeting on May 20-21, 2024.”
Ajayi-Kadir said: “It is evident that the Monetary Policy
Committee (MPC) leans towards prioritising the financial sector over the real
sector, rather than striving for a balanced approach between the two.”
The MPC reached a decision to raise the interest rate by 150
basis points, from 24.75 percent to 26.25 percent and opted to maintain the
Cash Reserve Ratio (CRR) of deposit money banks at 45.0 percent and retain the
liquidity ratio at 30.0 percent during its latest meeting.
But these decisions, according to him, have serious
militating implications for the Nigerian manufacturing sector.
He argued that “the persistent macroeconomic instability in
Nigeria, resulting from sustained monetary policy decisions over the past two
years has negatively impacted the manufacturing sector.
“This instability, compounded by various constraints
affecting sectoral performance, continues to disrupt production plans,
undermine investments, and cast uncertainty over prospects.
“Furthermore, recent decisions by the MPC exacerbate these
challenges by further tightening credit interventions, increasing loan costs,
raising production cost, limiting fund accessibility, and eroding investment
and competitiveness within the manufacturing sector,” he said.
The director general of MAN noted that the strategy of
raising the MPR has persisted for nearly two years without yielding positive
results.
Ajayi-Kadir stated that the probable outcomes that could be
harvested from continued tightening of monetary instruments would be
constraints on investment, business expansion and further decline in
manufacturing competitiveness.
He said: “The combination of heightened borrowing costs and
reduced liquidity will hinder manufacturers’ ability to invest in innovative
technologies, expand production capacities, or venture into new markets.
“As a result, this could lead to delays or cancellations of
planned initiatives, ultimately constraining the sector’s potential for growth
and its overall contribution to economic growth and development.”
He added that a high lending rate exceeding 30 percent will
increase the cost of borrowing and make Nigeria goods less competitive to
products from other nations.
“This is evident in the substantial downturn in global
demand for Nigerian goods. Notably, data sourced from the World Trade
Organisation (WTO) reveals a stark contrast in manufacturing export values
between Nigeria, South Africa, Egypt and Morocco in 2022, with South Africa,
Morocco and Egypt recorded $45.38 billion, $30.61 billion, $20.14 billion
respectively compared to Nigeria’s modest record of $3.21 billion.
“Such a glaring divergence underscores the significant
disparity in competitiveness of Nigeria,” he argued.
Moreover, according to the MAN survey, he said the capacity
utilisation of the manufacturing sector reduced from 56.4 percent recorded in
2022 to 55.1 percent in 2023.
Also, the growth of the sector reduced to 1.40 percent in
2023 from 3.35 percent and 2.45 percent recorded in 2021 and 2022 respectively,
he maintained.
He, therefore, said that the CBN should explore alternative
measures, particularly in addressing the underlying causes of inflation,
primarily cost-push factors.
He said: “MAN, earnestly urges the MPC to carefully evaluate
the effects of these monetary policy actions on both the manufacturing sector
and the broader economy.
“Achieving a delicate equilibrium between addressing
macroeconomic challenges and fostering the growth and resilience of the
manufacturing industry is crucial.
“Therefore, MAN advocates for robust collaboration between
monetary and fiscal authorities and suggests considering the following policy
measures, such as the implementation of “targeted interventions aimed at
mitigating the underlying cost-push factors driving inflation, thereby
alleviating the financial burden on manufacturers,” prioritisation of “forex
and credit allocation to the manufacturers and fast track the proposed
recapitalisation of the banking sector.”
He also emphasised the development of infrastructure within
industrial hubs and bolstering nationwide investments in renewable energy
sources to alleviate logistical expenses and enhance competitiveness.
Furthermore, he called for the reduction of the reliance of the country on imported products and raw materials by providing incentives for investment in backward integration and local sourcing to reduce the pressure on the dollar to the barest minimum.
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