The potential cash transaction between Exxon and Chevron is contingent upon a change in the control of Hess' Guyana asset, according to reliable sources.

Exxon Mobil’s legal challenge to Chevron’s proposed $53 billion acquisition of Hess centers on whether the transaction would result in a change of control of Hess’ valuable subsidiary in Guyana.

Two prominent U.S. oil companies, Exxon and Chevron, are engaged in an arbitration dispute concerning the largest offshore oil discovery in Guyana in nearly two decades. Exxon, which holds a significant 45% stake and operates all production in the South American nation, has formally challenged the proposed merger between Chevron and Hess, which would result in Chevron acquiring control of Hess’s 30% stake. This transaction is considered crucial for Chevron’s future trajectory.

Exxon asserts that Hess should have first provided it the opportunity to acquire its interest in the Guyana asset.

Exxon asserts that the right of first refusal is triggered by a change in control in Guyana and alleges that Chevron structured the transaction to circumvent this right, as shared by individuals familiar with the confidential arguments.

Chevron and Hess announce that the acquisition is structured to preserve Hess’s autonomy, ensuring no alterations to its asset control in Guyana. Hess will operate as a distinct unit within Chevron.

Chevron and Hess maintain that the argument lacks merit as Hess would persist under a new Chevron and retain ownership of the asset, according to individuals familiar with their perspective.

“The crux here is whether a change of control even occurred,” agreed oil and M&A expert James English at law firm Clark Hill Law.

The three-person arbitration panel tasked with making the decision must determine whether to prioritize the contractual language or delve into Chevron’s underlying intentions.

Chevron and Hess maintain that the argument lacks merit as Hess would persist under a new Chevron and retain ownership of the asset, according to individuals familiar with their perspective.

“The crux here is whether a change of control even occurred,” agreed oil and M&A expert James English at law firm Clark Hill Law.

The three-person arbitration panel tasked with making the decision must determine whether to prioritize the language outlined in the contract or delve into Chevron’s underlying intentions.

“A plain language approach would be very favorable to Chevron, while if you go with the intent, Exxon may have a case,” English said.

A discussion about intent would also advance the dispute into new phases that could necessitate discovery, interrogations, and the hiring of independent valuation experts, potentially delaying a resolution until next year, as Exxon has cautioned.

Chevron believes the discussion on how to interpret the words in the contract will be “very straightforward,” a person aware of the company’s legal strategy said. Chevron and Hess said they are seeking a hearing in the third quarter, hoping for an outcome in the fourth and to close the deal shortly thereafter.

The case is distinctive because Guyana accounts for a substantial portion, estimated to be between 60% and 80%, of the $53 billion offered by Chevron for Hess, as per the evaluations of English and other industry specialists.

An arbitration win for Exxon would not conclude the dispute. While Exxon has eliminated the possibility of acquiring Hess in its entirety, it has indicated its willingness to consider bidding for Hess’s 30% stake in Guyana, bidding for a portion of that stake, seeking compensation from Chevron, or maintaining the current situation.

The ultimate strategy will hinge on a closely guarded secret by Chevron and Hess: the valuation of Hess’ Guyana stake in the merger.

OIL RICHES

Guyana is projected to produce 1.9 million barrels of oil equivalent per day (boepd) in the upcoming decade, surpassing the production of Venezuela, an OPEC member, and approaching the production levels of the Gulf of Mexico, according to Rystad Energy, a reputable consulting firm in the energy sector.

Chevron initially anticipated the completion of the Hess acquisition within the first half of the current year. However, in March, the company encountered an unexpected development when Exxon initiated arbitration proceedings asserting their right of first refusal.

“Job number one is to get past the first hurdle, which is an alignment that a preemption rights exist in the contract,” Exxon CEO Darren Woods told Reuters in March.

The arbitr”tion panel will examine a confidential joint operating agreement (JOA) between Exxon, Hess, and a third partner, CNOOC, that governs the Guyana operations, specifically the Stabroek oil block.

The Joint Operating Agreement (JOA) was drafted by Exxon in 2008, prior to any oil discoveries, in collaboration with a former partner. The JOA was based on a model contract developed in 2002 by the Association of International Energy Negotiators (AIEN), as confirmed by two individuals familiar with the matter.

The model states that any "direct or indirect” change in control would constitute a change in control, but it does not clearly define what is meant by “indirect.”

The contract's language has been modified. However, Exxon, Chevron, and Hess have declined to disclose the final contract language.

The 2023 model update clarifies that a change in the ultimate parent company constitutes a change in control.

“We wrote the JOA, so we have a pretty clear line of slightness (sic) to the intent and the circumstances that apply,” Woods said in April after reporting first quarter earnings. “That is the point of the arbitration.”

The individual with insight into Chevron's strategy mentioned that there is no tangible precedent for Exxon's change of control arguments in decades of industry mergers and acquisitions governed by similar JOAs.

“We disagree with Exxon Mobil’s interpretation of the agreement and are confident that our position will prevail in arbitration,” Hess said. Reuters