Olufemi Adeyemi

Nigeria’s manufacturing sector emerged as a major pillar of government revenue generation in 2025, contributing a total of N1.17 trillion in Value Added Tax (VAT), according to newly released data from the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS).

The latest figure marks a substantial rise from the N803.53 billion recorded in 2024, underscoring the sector’s expanding role in the country’s fiscal landscape. The growth also reinforces manufacturing’s position as the largest contributor to VAT revenue, even amid persistent economic headwinds.

Data from the NBS indicates that VAT inflows from the sector remained relatively stable throughout the year. Contributions stood at N286.95 billion in the first quarter, increased to N297.68 billion in the second quarter, moderated slightly to N290.79 billion in the third quarter, and rose again to N292.12 billion in the final quarter. This consistency reflects the sector’s resilience and sustained productivity despite macroeconomic pressures.

A comparison with 2024 further highlights the upward trajectory. Quarterly VAT contributions in that year ranged from N177.17 billion in Q1 to N237.52 billion in Q4, setting the stage for the stronger performance recorded in 2025.

Beyond tax contributions, the manufacturing sector continues to play a strategic role in Nigeria’s broader economic structure. It accounted for 8.05% of real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in 2025, slightly lower than the 8.24% recorded in 2024. Key industries—including consumer goods, cement production, and industrial materials—have remained central to output growth and revenue generation, supporting ongoing efforts to diversify the economy away from oil dependence.

However, the sector’s performance has not come without challenges. Manufacturers continue to grapple with high production costs, exchange rate volatility, and infrastructural deficits, all of which pose risks to sustained growth.

Nigeria’s overall VAT performance provides additional context to the sector’s contribution. Total VAT collections reached N2.19 trillion in the fourth quarter of 2025, representing a 3.78% decline from the N2.28 trillion recorded in the previous quarter. Despite this dip, annual VAT revenue increased by 12.84% year-on-year, pointing to continued economic activity across sectors.

A breakdown of VAT sources shows a diversified revenue base: local VAT contributed N1.16 trillion in Q4, while foreign VAT accounted for N503.13 billion and import VAT generated N535.73 billion. Earlier in the year, VAT collections rose from N2.06 trillion in Q2 to N2.28 trillion in Q3, reflecting a 10.66% increase.

Looking ahead, recent policy reforms are expected to further enhance VAT collection and broaden Nigeria’s tax net. The Federal Government introduced a presumptive tax framework targeting Micro, Small, and Medium Enterprises (MSMEs) in March 2026, aimed at improving compliance and bringing more businesses into the tax system. This follows the signing of four major tax reform laws in June 2025 designed to strengthen tax administration and boost revenue mobilisation.

As Nigeria intensifies efforts to reduce its reliance on oil revenues, the manufacturing sector is increasingly positioned as a critical driver of non-oil revenue and long-term economic stability.