The measures, which kicked in fully on Monday, give soy
exporters a better exchange rate than the controlled official one, aiming to
spur exports of some $15 billion of soy in the second and third quarters of the
year to refill depleted reserves.
"The 'farm dollar' will not create extra foreign
currency, but at least will accelerate it coming in and so provide temporary
relief," said economist Gustavo Ber, adding that foreign currency reserves
had hit "critical levels."
Argentina, heading towards crunch general elections in
October where the governing Peronist coalition is facing the real prospect of
defeat, has been battered by drought over the last year which is weighing on
grains production, its top export.
This has squeezed the amount of dollars the central bank has
in reserve, vital for making payments for imports and dealing with foreign debt
obligations, even as Argentina battles inflation at over 100% and poverty
that's risen to near 40% of the population, according to government data.
"What (Economy Minister) Sergio Massa is trying to do
is buy time and stop the bomb from exploding," economist Rodrigo Álvarez
told local radio.
The South American country, the world's top exporter of
processed soy and No. 3 for corn, is battling to right its troubled economy
after years of crises and defaults. It has a $44 billion loan program with the
International Monetary Fund (IMF) that has recently come under strain as the
fund lowered the country's targets for foreign reserves.
The so-called "soy dollar" was used twice last
year and did help create a boost in exports, at least in the short-term helping
ease availability of foreign currency.
Economist Roberto Geretto of Fundcorp estimated that in the
best-case scenario, Argentina's central bank could gain some $4 billion over
the next two months, though then foreign currency income would fall away again
given depleted harvests.
"This new measure aims to buy two months, which in the
current context is not insignificant," Geretto told Reuters.
Ber agreed the impact would be temporary but added the
higher price given to exports could fan domestic inflation more, a key theme
for voters ahead of the October ballot.
"The effect of these initiatives – as has happened in
the past – would again be transitory, more than anything considering that the
associated monetary issuance could end up putting even more pressure on
inflation in the coming quarters," he said. -Reuters
