In an interview with the publication, Macklem expressed
concerns regarding the Canadian labor market and the impact that declining oil
prices could have on the economy.
He stated, “As you approach the [inflation] target, your
risk management considerations evolve.
You start to focus more on the potential downside risks,
particularly as the labor market suggests some vulnerabilities.” Following a
year of maintaining its key policy rate at 5%, the highest level in over twenty
years, the Bank of Canada has implemented three consecutive quarter-point cuts
since June, reducing the rate by 75 basis points to 4.25% earlier this month.
In July, Canada experienced an overall inflation rate that
dropped to a 40-month low of 2.5%. Macklem noted last week that while the bank
anticipates stronger growth, there are still downside risks to this expected
improvement.
He remarked during a speech to the Canada-UK Chamber of
Commerce in London that “Trade disruptions could lead to greater fluctuations
in inflation away from the 2% target.”