Olufemi Adeyemi
Nigeria’s corporate tax environment is increasingly coming under scrutiny as economists, investors, and policymakers debate its impact on foreign direct investment (FDI). At a statutory corporate income tax (CIT) rate of 30%, Nigeria applies one of the highest rates in its peer group, targeting companies with annual gross turnover exceeding NGN 100 million. While this rate has remained unchanged since 2007, its implications for attracting foreign capital are growing more pronounced amid the country’s broader economic challenges.
Globally, the average CIT hovers around 23.37%, with Africa at 27.6%, Asia 19.52%, and the European Union just 9.74%. Nigeria’s premium over these benchmarks could deter investors who are increasingly sensitive to fiscal regimes, particularly as the nation navigates declining oil revenues, mounting debt, and volatile currency pressures.
Why the Current Tax Rate Matters
Foreign investors weigh taxation heavily when making investment decisions. Research indicates that a 1% rise in effective tax rates can lead to a 3–5% drop in FDI for emerging markets. In Nigeria, the 30% CIT compounds other fiscal obligations:
- Capital Gains Tax Alignment: The Nigeria Tax Act 2025 increased capital gains tax from 10% to 30% for companies, harmonizing it with CIT. Coupled with development levies of up to 4%, this has raised concerns about market confidence and potential capital flight.
- Hidden Fiscal Pressures: Beyond the headline rate, effective tax burdens can escalate due to withholding taxes (10% on dividends and interest, sometimes reducible to 7.5% via treaties), value-added tax at 7.5%, and sector-specific levies like hydrocarbon taxes of up to 30%. Sudden policy shifts, including the removal of free trade zone exemptions, heighten perceptions of unpredictability.
- Competitive Disadvantage: Neighboring countries such as South Africa (27% CIT) or Asian hubs like Vietnam (20%) offer lower rates, while global tax-friendly jurisdictions attract significant FDI flows due to rates below 10%. Nigeria risks losing ground unless it recalibrates its fiscal approach.
Recent discussions on X underscore investor apprehension. Analysts highlight that, combined with personal income taxes of up to 25%, the 30% CIT discourages both local expansion and foreign entry. “No company will invest in that fiscal climate,” one observer remarked, signaling an urgent need for policy adjustments.
The Broader Economic Context
Nigeria’s reliance on oil exports underscores the importance of FDI for economic diversification. In 2024, FDI inflows fell to $3.3 billion, a 36% drop from 2023, with policy volatility often cited as a contributing factor. The Petroleum Industry Act 2021, which introduced dual taxation for upstream operations, has added another layer of complexity. While incentives exist—such as 100% capital allowances for startups and reduced withholding taxes—these measures often fail to offset the deterrent effect of high headline rates.
The Nigeria Tax Act 2025, set to take effect in 2026, aims to modernize tax collection and curb revenue leakages. Yet, critics argue that without targeted adjustments, it may undermine Nigeria’s competitiveness, potentially worsening unemployment (currently above 33%) and currency instability.
Potential Pathways to Enhance FDI
Experts propose several measures to make Nigeria more attractive to foreign investors:
- Adjusting CIT Rates: Lowering corporate taxes to 25% for export-oriented businesses to align with regional peers.
- Expanding Incentives: Extending tax holidays or pioneer status beyond five years for strategic sectors like renewable energy and technology.
- Improving Clarity: Clearly defining reinvestment exemptions under capital gains tax to encourage reinvestment of profits.
While the 30% CIT contributes significantly to government revenue—accounting for 47% of total tax receipts in 2022—it may also be limiting the very investment needed to drive sustainable growth. Carefully targeted reforms could convert this risk into an opportunity, allowing Nigeria to attract FDI, stimulate diversification, and strengthen long-term economic resilience.
