Singapore’s tourism sector is preparing for a slower pace of spending growth this year, even as the country expects more international visitors to arrive. The outlook reflects growing unease within the global travel industry over geopolitical instability, particularly tensions in the Middle East, which could dampen both leisure and business travel spending.

Authorities in the city-state project tourism receipts to reach between 31 billion and 32.5 billion Singapore dollars in 2026, slightly below the record 32.8 billion Singapore dollars recorded last year. At the same time, international visitor arrivals are still expected to increase to between 17 million and 18 million travelers, up from 16.9 million in 2025.

The mixed forecast highlights a changing travel landscape where people may continue to travel, but spend more cautiously amid economic uncertainty, elevated travel costs, and concerns over global conflicts.

Singapore has long been regarded as one of Asia’s most resilient tourism and business hubs. The country continues to attract major international events, corporate conferences, luxury stopovers, and entertainment spectacles. In recent years, it hosted global attractions such as the Formula One Singapore Grand Prix, as well as sold-out concerts from international stars including Taylor Swift, Coldplay, and Blackpink.

Tourism remains a significant contributor to Singapore’s economy, accounting for about 6% of the nation’s services exports in 2024.

Speaking at Singapore’s annual tourism industry conference, Singapore Tourism Board CEO Melissa Ow acknowledged that while arrivals remain healthy, spending patterns are beginning to soften.

“Muted demands in the months ahead” are expected to weigh on tourism receipts, Ow said, despite visitor arrivals rising 3% in the first quarter compared with the same period a year earlier.

Her comments mirror broader concerns emerging across the global business travel industry. Industry leaders warn that geopolitical tensions, airspace disruptions, and rising fuel prices are creating volatility in international travel markets.

The Global Business Travel Association noted that Asia-Pacific still accounts for more than 40% of worldwide business travel spending, making the region one of the strongest-performing travel markets globally. However, recovery remains uneven.

Suzanne Neufang, CEO of the association, said global business travel has still not fully rebounded to pre-pandemic levels, even as airfare, accommodation, and operational costs continue climbing.

“Uncertainty is not the travel industry’s friend,” Neufang told CNBC, though she added that conferences, meetings, and corporate events continue to show resilience compared with other travel segments.

Despite the cautious short-term outlook, Singapore is pushing ahead with ambitious long-term tourism plans under its “Tourism 2040” strategy, which aims to raise tourism receipts to between 47 billion and 50 billion Singapore dollars by 2040.

Ow struck an optimistic but measured tone about the future.

“Current times are highly uncertain and very volatile,” she said. “We’re choosing to be more conservative in terms of how we are expecting the year to turn out.”

She also emphasized that occasional geopolitical or economic “wobbles” are inevitable, but insisted Singapore’s long-term tourism roadmap still has “one and a half decades to go.”

The government is reinforcing that confidence with fresh investments. Singapore Minister-in-charge of Trade Relations Grace Fu announced an additional 740 million Singapore dollars for the Tourism Development Fund over the next five years, adding to more than 300 million Singapore dollars already committed in 2024.

Another 5 million Singapore dollars will support tourism businesses seeking expansion into new international markets while helping reduce financial risks associated with overseas growth.

Singapore is also diversifying its tourism strategy by increasing focus on cruise tourism, especially as volatile jet fuel prices and disruptions to Middle East airspace continue affecting global aviation.

The country recently welcomed Disney Adventure — the largest vessel in Disney’s cruise fleet and the company’s first ship permanently based outside the United States — which began operations from Singapore on March 3.

In addition, Singapore is preparing to launch a new cruise and ferry terminal on July 15. The facility will include a VIP lounge and automated baggage handling systems as authorities attempt to grow a cruise industry that recorded 375 ship calls and more than 2 million passengers in 2025.

Entertainment tourism is also expected to provide support later this year. South Korean supergroup BTS is scheduled for a four-night Singapore stop in December, an event likely to attract thousands of regional visitors and boost hospitality demand.

Meanwhile, Singapore announced a new three-year partnership with South Korean production company Mr Romance. The collaboration’s first drama project, “Buy King,” is currently being filmed in Singapore and stars actors Ju Ji-hoon and Lee Jun-ho.

Even with uncertainty clouding the global economy, Singapore appears determined to maintain its position as one of Asia’s premier travel and business destinations — balancing caution in the near term with aggressive investment for the future.