Olufemi Adeyemi

Nigeria has climbed to the top of the global equity rankings after its stock market delivered the highest dollar-denominated returns among 92 exchanges tracked worldwide, reflecting renewed investor confidence driven by economic reforms, improved foreign exchange liquidity and a strengthening naira.

According to a new Bloomberg report released on Thursday, Nigeria's benchmark stock index has generated a 67 per cent return in dollar terms since the beginning of the year, overtaking South Korea's Kospi index, which returned 66 per cent before slipping into a technical bear market.

The latest ranking places Nigeria ahead of South Korea, Ghana and Taiwan, highlighting a remarkable turnaround for Africa's largest economy following a series of economic reforms introduced over the past two years.

Nigeria Outpaces Global Peers

Bloomberg attributed Nigeria's impressive market performance to improving macroeconomic conditions, rising international crude oil prices and increased confidence among both domestic and foreign investors.

According to the report:

"Nigerian equities have overtaken South Korea’s to hand investors the highest dollar-based returns this year, as souring sentiment on artificial-intelligence stocks pushes the Asian nation’s world-beating rally into bear territory."

It added:

"The benchmark index in Africa’s largest oil producer has returned 67 per cent in dollar terms this year, outpacing the 66 per cent gain for the Kospi index, according to data from the 92 global stock exchanges tracked by Bloomberg."

While Nigeria's market continued its upward trajectory, South Korea's rally lost momentum amid growing concerns over the sustainability of the artificial intelligence boom that had fuelled much of the country's stock market gains.

Bloomberg noted:

"The Kospi index entered a technical bear market this week after declining 22 per cent from its June 19 peak as investors increasingly questioned whether the rapid surge in artificial intelligence-related stocks could be sustained."

The report also pointed to currency weakness as another factor reducing investor returns in South Korea.

"The South Korean won has depreciated by about five per cent against the dollar since the beginning of the year, making it the fourth-worst-performing currency in Asia."

Economic Reforms Fuel Investor Confidence

Bloomberg said Nigeria's market rally has been supported by a combination of government reforms, stronger oil prices and improved access to foreign exchange.

According to the report:

"Nigerian equities have rallied this year on the back of macroeconomic reforms, higher international crude oil prices, and improved foreign exchange liquidity. Nigerian stocks have rallied this year on macroeconomic reforms, higher oil prices and better foreign exchange supply, with the naira gaining 4 per cent since January."

The report said the improving macroeconomic environment has encouraged investors to return to Nigerian assets after a period marked by exchange rate volatility and inflationary pressures.

Since assuming office in 2023, President Bola Tinubu's administration has implemented wide-ranging reforms, including the unification of the foreign exchange market, the removal of petrol subsidies and fiscal and monetary measures aimed at restoring economic stability and rebuilding investor confidence.

Although the reforms initially triggered sharp inflation and significant currency fluctuations, recent improvements in foreign exchange liquidity and the relative stability of the naira have strengthened sentiment in the capital market.

Financial Stocks Lead Market Rally

Bloomberg noted that financial institutions listed on the Nigerian Exchange have played a central role in driving the market's strong performance.

Financial services companies have recorded some of the biggest gains on the Lagos-based exchange, with Fortis Global Insurance Plc emerging as one of the standout performers after delivering an extraordinary 1,400 per cent return in dollar terms.

Unlike South Korea's stock market, where technology and artificial intelligence companies have heavily influenced market performance, Nigerian equities have been propelled by different growth drivers.

Dangote Refinery Listing Raises Expectations

Bloomberg also highlighted growing optimism surrounding the possible listing of Dangote Petroleum Refinery and Petrochemicals FZE, describing it as another factor boosting investor confidence.

Lagos-based trader at StoneX Nigeria Financial Limited, Damilola Okeleye, said the attraction of Nigerian equities extends beyond global technology trends.

"Unlike the Kospi, companies listed on Nigeria’s stock exchange are not directly exposed to artificial intelligence. Investors buying Nigerian equities are attracted by different factors. Nigeria’s economic reforms and the potential listing of the continent’s largest crude processor, Dangote Petroleum Refinery and Petrochemicals FZE, have been a strong driving force behind the gains recorded so far this year."

Bloomberg added that expectations surrounding a future listing of the refinery have increased optimism among investors, who believe such a move could significantly expand the Nigerian capital market, boost market capitalisation and attract additional foreign portfolio investment.

Outlook Remains Positive

Nigeria's emergence as the world's best-performing equity market in dollar terms underscores the growing impact of recent economic reforms and improving macroeconomic indicators.

Analysts believe that if exchange rate stability, foreign exchange liquidity and investor-friendly policies are sustained, while major companies such as Dangote Refinery eventually list on the Nigerian Exchange, Nigeria could further strengthen its position as one of the most attractive investment destinations among emerging and frontier markets.