Asian stocks made their biggest gains in a month on Thursday, while the dollar took a breather and bond markets steadied as investors stepped back to assess the interest rate outlook.
Oil found support following its sharpest fall in
two-and-a-half months on demand worries and the lack, so far, of an obvious
Israeli or U.S. response to Iran's weekend attack on Israel.
Analysts do not expect dramatic new sanctions on oil from
Iran, which comprises about 3% of global output.
MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan rose 1% led by a 2% gain in South Korea's
Kospi, and a 1% rise for Hong Kong's Hang Seng. All of those indexes are down
for the week and for the month so far.
Japan's Nikkei, rose 0.3%, though its drop of 3.6% for the
week has it eyeing its biggest weekly fall since 2022.
S&P 500 futures bounced 0.4%, Nasdaq 100 futures rose
0.5%, FTSE futures rose 0.3% while European futures were flat.
The dollar has eased from recent highs and news of an
unusual trilateral agreement between the U.S., Japan and Korea to consult
closely on foreign exchange left the door open to intervention to slow any
further dollar gains in Asia.
U.S. short-term interest rate expectations were little
changed but selling of longer-dated bonds abated, and Asia's bond markets
rallied on Thursday. Ten-year Japanese government bond yields fell 2 basis
points to 0.86%.
Ten-year Treasury yields fell 1.6 bps to 4.569% and two-year
Treasury yields , which touched 5% on Thursday, were last at 4.92%.
"I believe (falls in yields and the dollar) are small
pullbacks from extended moves," said Anshul Sidher, global head of markets
at ANZ in Singapore, adding traders are closely watching bonds and the dollar
to drive the mood.
"I'd expect (oil) to be range bound subject to (Middle
East) escalations from where we are now," he said.
Taiwanese chipmaker, turned in a positive surprise, beating
market estimates with a 9% rise in profit as it rides a wave of
artificial-intelligence led demand. It expects business to pick up in the
second half and the result contrasted with Wednesday's disappointing earnings
from chipmaking supplier ASML.
Nervousness in the equity markets has followed a wave of
bond selling and dollar buying as sticky U.S. inflation and a shift in tone at
the Federal Reserve pointed to persistently high U.S. rates. The
rates-sensitive Nasdaq, is down 3% so far this week.
The euro is under pressure as European policymakers are
readying to cut rates in two months time, though at $1.0680 it is off this
week's five-month lows.
The Australian dollar took a slight knock from data showing
an unexpected fall in Australian employment in March before steadying around
$0.6446.
The yen traded at 154.32 per dollar, close to a three-decade
low, and traders are eyeing a breach of 155 as a possible trigger for
intervention.
"China is likely to welcome an end to yen
depreciation," said Bank of Singapore strategist Moh Siong Sim in a note
to clients.
"We believe the issue of whether Japan will intervene
to limit yen weakness will matter to the People's Bank of China's assessment of
the appropriate level to stabilise the (yuan)."
China's yuan hovered at 7.2357 per dollar. It is down 1.8%
against the dollar this year and the weakening of its trading band this week
has been taken as a signal that Chinese authorities will tolerate further
softness.
In other commodity markets, European gas prices have
retreated from three-month highs and sharp rallies in metal prices have paused,
though not reversed.
Three-month London copper is up 12% this year and traded at
$9,584 per tonne overnight. Singapore iron ore held gains at just over $110 a
tonne.
Gold is just below last week's record high at $2,376 an
ounce.
A handful of U.S. and European central bankers speak later
on Thursday. U.S. jobless claims data is due and earnings at Blackstone, and
Netflix, will be closely watched. -Reuters